Updated Forecast

Where Will Major Hurricane Lee Hit?

2023 Atlantic Hurricane Season

Hurricane Lee Could Make Landfall Anywhere From Rhode Island to the East Coast of Nova Scotia

When Is Hurricane Season?

Hurricane Season Starts June 1

The Season Peaks Around September 10

And Officially Ends November 30

A Warmer Pacific Ocean Near the Equator Usually Means Fewer Hurricanes in the Atlantic

La Nina Ends!

Cooler Equator = La Nina (Top) Warmer Equator = El Nino (Bottom)

El Nino?

According to NOAA's Climate Prediction Center, the chance of an El Nino by this fall is about 62%

Warm Ocean Temperatures Enhance Tropical Development. The Atlantic Ocean Sea Surface Temperatures are Higher than Average.

Atlantic Ocean

Early Outlook

A strong El Nino offsets warm ocean temperatures—neutral conditions contribute to more storms.

April 2023 Forecast

Named Storms

Hurricanes 

Major Hurricanes

ACE

13

6

2

100

Avgerage

2023

14

7

3

123

Uncertainty

Unless the El Nino / La Nina Conditions Shift to a Strong El Nino,  the season could become very active due to the warmer than average Sea Surface Temperatures

Long Range Forecasts are Always Uncertain. Forecasters Believe 2023 will be Average or Slightly Below Average.