2024 Atlantic Hurricane Season
February
Outlook
6-Month Season
Starts June 1
Peaks September 10
Ends November 30
Factors Influencing Atlantic Tropical Cyclone Activity
El Niño / La Niña (ENSO)
Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO)
Sea Surface Temps (SSTs)
Warm El Niño
Brings Pacific Jet Stream
Causing Cyclone Inhibiting Wind Shear Over Atlantic
Cool La Niña
Brings Polar Jet Stream
Reduces Atlantic Wind Shear
Promotes Cyclone Formation
Turns North Over Coast
Warm El Niño
Cool
La Niña
The strong
El Niño that reduced activity in 2023 is fading. NOAA points to a 55% chance that La Niña returns by hurricane season peak
Atlantic Multidecadal
Oscillation
Currently in a
Warm
cycle that should persist throughout 2024. Deviations are common, which causes uncertainty.
Warm cycles promote Tropical Cyclone activity
Sea Surface Temperatures
(SSTs)
Warm Ocean Water Provides the Energy Required to Form a Tropical Cyclone.
The Key Areas Where Tropical Cyclones Form is 1-2° C. Warmer than Average
Early Outlook
for an
Hurricane Preparedness
Are You Ready for the 2024 Hurricane Season?
Active 2024 Hurricane Season
Named Storms
Hurricanes
Major Hurricanes
20
9
4
20
20
20
2024
Average